Beliefs about others’ beliefs

Can Superstitious Beliefs Affect Market Equilibrium? Personal Beliefs and Beliefs about Others

We investigate whether superstitious beliefs held directly by only a fraction of the population affect market equilibrium. Using data from multiracial Singapore, we find that apartments whose unit numbers end with 8, an auspicious number for Chinese, are sold at 0.9% premium, whereas those that end with 4, an inauspicious number for Chinese, are sold at 1.5% discount. The discount for inauspici...

"beliefs about Beliefs" without Probabilities

Simultaneously modeling humans' preferences and their beliefs about others' preferences

In strategic multiagent decision making, it is often the case that a strategic reasoner must hold beliefs about other agents and use these beliefs to inform its decision making. The behavior thus produced by the reasoner involves an interaction between the reasoner’s beliefs about other agents and the reasoner’s own preferences. A significant challenge faced by model designers, therefore, is ho...

Modeling Developmental Transitions in Reasoning about False Beliefs of Others

Reasoning about false beliefs of others develops with age. We present here an ACT-R model in order to show the developmental transitions. These start from a child’s reasoning from his/her own point of view (zero-order) to taking into consideration another agent’s beliefs (first-order), and later to taking into consideration another agent’s beliefs about again other agents’ beliefs (second-order...

Beliefs about brain injury Beliefs about brain injury in Britain

Primary objective: Surveys have revealed that a high proportion of the public in the US and Canada hold misconceptions pertaining to the sequelae of brain injury. This study examined whether similar misconceptions are endorsed by adults in Britain. Research design: Survey Methods and procedures: Three hundred and twenty two participants completed a 17 item questionnaire containing true or false...